Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.662747 16.521077 18.540706 20.901268 23.587971 26.554550 30.083697
2025-03-09 11.664075 14.152290 17.078061 20.783394 25.366925 30.871260 38.013137
2025-03-16 9.635865 12.424504 15.923801 20.662425 26.950581 35.062046 46.404660
2025-03-23 8.493437 11.536554 15.574654 21.370052 29.548026 40.785258 57.584212
2025-03-30 7.425766 10.544566 14.886084 21.437656 31.190672 45.355812 67.822020
2025-04-06 6.442476 9.506835 13.953647 20.965143 31.905948 48.596106 76.503634
2025-04-13 5.689625 8.689612 13.208451 20.621435 32.693938 51.955747 85.769015
2025-04-20 5.275199 8.322919 13.078915 21.181335 34.928757 57.833062 99.986202
2025-04-27 4.944573 8.040542 13.033670 21.846485 37.387661 64.363602 116.297776
2025-05-04 4.591255 7.675123 12.801261 22.148700 39.232399 70.038581 131.902734
2025-05-11 4.162149 7.131904 12.203905 21.728322 39.707571 73.272607 143.329058
2025-05-18 3.794910 6.655353 11.666825 21.342525 40.176625 76.519355 155.232082
2025-05-25 3.472739 6.235232 11.201979 21.066549 40.880928 80.436639 169.446962
2025-06-01 3.220462 5.917597 10.892171 21.053013 42.109820 85.596569 187.282689
2025-06-08 2.987507 5.611873 10.571602 20.977877 43.201189 90.627230 205.741032
2025-06-15 2.872490 5.519821 10.650473 21.719460 46.109493 99.976039 235.956079
2025-06-22 2.695871 5.287842 10.426949 21.798390 47.580437 106.339223 260.129842
2025-06-29 2.481539 4.958417 9.971515 21.321807 47.733523 109.681608 277.295100
2025-07-06 2.301477 4.681660 9.596053 20.973803 48.128510 113.634133 296.753671
2025-07-13 2.218746 4.601010 9.626419 21.544930 50.782063 123.500962 334.172396
2025-07-20 2.149994 4.543327 9.699699 22.222808 53.789118 134.722618 377.700507
2025-07-27 2.056722 4.422934 9.621774 22.530824 55.907642 143.959667 417.353934
2025-08-03 1.917170 4.186534 9.259117 22.102739 56.064379 147.953759 441.939528